Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000816 0.000930 0.001050 0.001187 0.001338 0.001497 0.001680
2025-02-09 0.000622 0.000778 0.000954 0.001166 0.001413 0.001691 0.002025
2025-02-16 0.000515 0.000686 0.000888 0.001142 0.001450 0.001807 0.002249
2025-02-23 0.000450 0.000634 0.000860 0.001155 0.001524 0.001964 0.002523
2025-03-02 0.000398 0.000590 0.000835 0.001164 0.001586 0.002102 0.002772
2025-03-09 0.000339 0.000530 0.000782 0.001131 0.001591 0.002167 0.002929
2025-03-16 0.000290 0.000477 0.000733 0.001098 0.001591 0.002221 0.003070
2025-03-23 0.000259 0.000445 0.000709 0.001096 0.001629 0.002322 0.003272
2025-03-30 0.000232 0.000418 0.000689 0.001095 0.001667 0.002423 0.003474
2025-04-06 0.000207 0.000389 0.000663 0.001084 0.001689 0.002502 0.003647
2025-04-13 0.000182 0.000359 0.000633 0.001064 0.001696 0.002559 0.003791
2025-04-20 0.000170 0.000349 0.000633 0.001088 0.001765 0.002701 0.004052
2025-04-27 0.000158 0.000337 0.000629 0.001107 0.001829 0.002839 0.004311
2025-05-04 0.000139 0.000312 0.000603 0.001088 0.001837 0.002899 0.004466
2025-05-11 0.000122 0.000287 0.000574 0.001065 0.001836 0.002945 0.004600
2025-05-18 0.000113 0.000277 0.000569 0.001078 0.001888 0.003068 0.004845
2025-05-25 0.000104 0.000265 0.000561 0.001086 0.001933 0.003180 0.005076
2025-06-01 0.000090 0.000242 0.000531 0.001055 0.001916 0.003201 0.005175
2025-06-08 0.000077 0.000221 0.000501 0.001023 0.001896 0.003216 0.005265
2025-06-15 0.000070 0.000210 0.000490 0.001021 0.001923 0.003301 0.005458
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000199 0.000479 0.001021 0.001951 0.003388 0.005656
2025-06-29 0.000057 0.000187 0.000464 0.001011 0.001964 0.003451 0.005818
2025-07-06 0.000050 0.000174 0.000445 0.000992 0.001960 0.003487 0.005941